Feeling Luck(y)

Some say success is reached through effort, timing and luck. Others say luck has nothing to do with it. They're all wrong. Luck is a requirement.

In the case of the Seattle Seahawks, the success of their franchise hinges on their demise. Ironically, each game the Seahawks lose puts them closer to their goal of attaining a franchise altering quarterback.

Every football team dreams that a player of Andrew Luck's ability and prowess falls to them in the NFL draft. Scouts say the Stanford junior quarterback is the real deal. The bees knees. The next John Elway.

Luck is smart (see Stanford). He is built like a man at 6'4, 235 lbs. He was already a Heisman runner-up. And his last name is Luck.

What more do you want?

The Seahawks need some Luck in their lives. This fan base needs it too. Seattle hasn't had a franchise quarterback with this skill set before. It is about time Seattle gets rewarded for all the crap it's sports teams go through annually. It could be our city's big break and all we have to do is lose.

We can handle that part, right?

Yes, I agree suffering through another horrible season is lame but if you can guarantee a reasonable shot at a once-in-a-decade quarterback, I'm in. Apparently, head coach Pete Carroll is in too because he recruited Tavaris Jackson to warm Luck's roster spot. I don't care what Carroll says about Jackson's progress, he is not the future. He is barely the present (i.e. Whitehurst).

Unfortunately, the only way to draft Andrew Luck is to be really bad. I'm talking maximum 4-win bad. Anymore wins than that and you're looking at a costly trade-up draft position scenario.

Currently there are 4 teams that are bad enough and haven't drafted their future QB in the last two years: Seattle, Miami, Kansas City, Indianapolis. Combined those teams have 2 wins and 14 losses.

Here is a snapshot of each team's chances at maintaining this ineptitude:

Seattle-- starts Jackson and has another loss coming this weekend in New York against the Giants. Prediction for wins and losses on remaining schedule: 3-9. Final record: 4-12.

Miami-- starts journeyman Matt Moore after incumbent QB Chad Henne went down indefinitely on Sunday. W-L prediction: 2-10. Final: 2-14.

Kansas City-- starts the wildly inconsistent Matt Cassell. W-L prediction: 3-9. Final: 4-12.

Indianapolis-- starts the very inexperienced Curtis Painter after Peyton Manning sits out with a neck injury, likely for the season. W-L prediction: 2-10. Final: 2-14.

Thus, I don't foresee any scenario in which the worst team gets 4 wins. All of those desperate teams will draft Luck if given the chance. And if Seattle doesn't finish worst which is likely, then they are going to have to trade someone very valuable to attain Luck's services.

Andrew Luck is not the only good quarterback in the 2012 draft class but he is easily the surest thing. So for this season and only this season, I will not complain when the Hawks lose. I will applaud the effort and hope for increased performance by the young guys so that when Seattle does get it's man they are ready to roll.

Do you feel lucky?

Well Seattle, do you?